Entry Apr 13 $180 strike exp Apr 25 med conv
21-delta put with a clean expected-move band and no earnings catalyst in the window. 3.8% premium annualized above the Core Universe median this cycle. Regime multiplier bumps conviction from low to med. Compound Interesting
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Latest video · Apr 14, 2026
Fear returns: walking through four wheel setups on a jumpy tape
Latest research · Apr 13, 2026
Fear returns: four wheel setups and one thesis pick for a jumpy tape
regime 62 fear · 3 ideas
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Notes, regime writeups, and the longer pieces behind the trades.